MIRACA at the International Conference on Resilience Science (ICRS 2026)

The sixth International Conference on Resilience Science (ICRS26) brought together leading researchers and practitioners in Delft from 23rd to 25th March. We are proud to highlight the contributions of several MIRACA project colleagues, who presented across multiple sessions, advancing the science of infrastructure resilience, supply chain robustness, and climate adaptation across Europe.

Infrastructure, Utilities & Economic Systems

A Rapid Decision-Support Tool to Assess Flood-Induced Accessibility Disruptions

Elco Koks – 13:20 – 13:35. Read abstract.

Elco presented an automated, scalable tool to identify critical road segments based on their role in connecting communities to essential services during flood events. Drawing on nationwide flood scenarios in Georgia, the tool evaluates population accessibility to healthcare via road networks, offering policymakers an equity-focused lens for budget prioritisation rather than a purely economic one.

Critical Infrastructure Failure Escalates the Macroeconomic Impacts of Disasters

Surender Raj Vanniya Perumal – 13:50 – 14:05. Read abstract.

Surender introduced a spatially explicit methodology to quantify how failures in critical infrastructure — such as power systems disrupted by flooding — ripple through interregional supply chains. The results were striking: depending on economic resilience and asset robustness, CI failures can amplify macroeconomic impacts by 30% to 360%. The study argues for a systemic, CI-focused approach to climate adaptation, moving beyond traditional maximum-damage assessments.

Pan-European Analysis of Flood-Induced Supply Chain Disruptions

Alberto Fernandez Perez – 14:05 – 14:20. Read abstract.

Alberto presented a Europe-wide assessment integrating industrial output localisation, transport infrastructure, and commodity flow mapping to trace how flooding cascades through industrial supply chains. Combining Eurostat Supply-Use Tables with multi-modal freight network modelling and JRC flood hazard maps, the study evaluates disruptions under current and future climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). Early results flag significant rail asset damage in central European countries under river flooding.

Progressing Climate & Disaster Resilience

Impact of Large-Scale Pluvial Flooding on an Interdependent Electricity and Road Network: Do We Need to Adapt?

Daniel Peregrina Gonzalez – 13:25 – 13:40. Read abstract.

Daniel explored the compounding effects of extreme rainfall on electricity and road networks in South Holland — a below-sea-level, heavily urbanised polder landscape with its own unique challenges. The study models how road disruptions create accessibility constraints that also delay electrical network repairs, and evaluates several adaptation options: increasing pumping capacity, protecting substations, or maintaining key repair routes. Using multiple impact metrics, it surfaces the trade-offs and tensions between these measures in a nuanced way.

Resilient Supply Chain

Macroeconomic Impacts of Single and Multi-Hazards across European Regions

Surender Raj Vanniya Perumal – 15:59 – 16:09. Read abstract.

In a second presentation, Surender introduced the Dynamic Multi-Regional Impact Assessment (DMRIA) model — an evolution of the established MRIA framework that now captures the temporal evolution of disaster-induced economic impacts. By modelling endogenous adjustments to production and logistical capacities, DMRIA enables a spatial criticality analysis across NUTS-1 European regions, including multi-hazard scenarios where simultaneous shocks amplify impacts. The model is also used to evaluate resilience measures such as inventory buffering and trade flexibility.

Critical Infrastructure Resilience

From Risk to Resilience: Assessing Geophysical and Climate Vulnerability and Adaptation Strategies for Transport Infrastructure in the Middle Corridor 

Sadhana Nirandjan – 16:55 – 17:10. Read abstract.

This study turns the spotlight on the Middle Corridor, an increasingly important Eurasian trade route, and the significant hazard exposure faced by its railway and road infrastructure. Using high-resolution hazard, infrastructure, and vulnerability data, the team assessed current and future risks from floods, earthquakes, and landslides, before conducting corridor-wide cost–benefit analyses to evaluate the economic case for adaptation. The findings show that pluvial flooding and seismic activity dominate current risk, while landslides are locally critical. Looking ahead, flood and rainfall-triggered landslide risk is set to increase — particularly in Armenia and Georgia. Targeted protective upgrades, the study concludes, can substantially reduce damages and safeguard the long-term continuity of trade along the corridor.

These six presentations reflect the breadth and depth of MIRACA’s research programme, from granular accessibility modelling at the road-segment level to macro-scale, multi-hazard economic assessments spanning the entire European continent. Across all sessions, a common thread emerged: understanding the interconnectedness of infrastructure, economies, and communities is not optional, it is foundational to building genuine resilience against future climate risks.

We congratulate all our colleagues on their contributions to ICRS26, and look forward to what our final year in MIRACA brings. Make sure to follow the links below to read the full abstracts and find out more!

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